Three scenarios for PiS after the split: from collapse to return to power

Following Mateusz Morawiecki's departure with dozens of MPs, PiS faces three possible futures: gradual disintegration like the former Freedom Union party, a permanent opposition role, or an unlikely return to power. Analysts say Jarosław Kaczyński has diminishing time and political capital to engineer a comeback. Both Kaczyński and Morawiecki now face highly uncertain political futures.