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Al-Qaeda affiliate JNIM victory in Mali would devastate West Africa

Analysts warn that a victory by al-Qaeda affiliate JNIM in Mali would be a regional catastrophe, unlike the fall of Assad in Syria. Unlike Syria's HTS, JNIM is a transnational coalition committed to erasing international borders, with fighters too radical to accept an Islamic Emirate of Mali as a final goal. Leader Iyad Ag Ghali is seen as a far more destabilising force than his Syrian counterparts.

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