Prediction markets give under 30% odds of US government stake in OpenAI this year

Traders on prediction market platform Kalshi put the odds of the U.S. federal government taking a stake in either OpenAI or Anthropic this year at less than 30%. Prediction markets have become an increasingly watched tool for forecasting political and business outcomes. Speculation about government involvement in AI companies has grown alongside the rising strategic importance of artificial intelligence.

More on this topic

💻 Technology AI Guardrails from OpenAI and Anthropic Hamper Offensive Cybersecurity Research TechCrunch · 1d ago 💻 Technology OpenAI and Anthropic Spent $3.17M on Lobbying in Q2 2026, Up 23% CNBC · 4d ago 💻 Technology AI inference startup Infinity raises $15M at $100M valuation backed by OpenAI and Anthropic researchers TechCrunch · 5d ago

More on this topic

💻 Technology AI Guardrails from OpenAI and Anthropic Hamper Offensive Cybersecurity Research TechCrunch · 1d ago 💻 Technology OpenAI and Anthropic Spent $3.17M on Lobbying in Q2 2026, Up 23% CNBC · 4d ago 💻 Technology AI inference startup Infinity raises $15M at $100M valuation backed by OpenAI and Anthropic researchers TechCrunch · 5d ago