51% of Brits say Burnham must call election if he becomes PM
A POLITICO/Public First poll found 51% of UK adults believe Andy Burnham should call a general election if he takes over as prime minister from Keir Starmer. Only 34% would consider his government legitimate without a new vote. Burnham, who only became an MP last week, is widely expected to replace Starmer — who has already set a timetable for his resignation later this month.
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LONDON — A majority of adults in the U.K. believe Andy Burnham should call an election to win his own mandate to govern if he takes over from Keir Starmer as prime minister.
The POLITICO Poll by Public First found 51 percent of respondents say Burnham, who became an MP just last week, “should call and try to win an election to give his government legitimacy.” Only 34 percent believe he would lead a legitimate administration without a new general election.
The results sharpen a key question in the debate over the transition of power in the U.K., with Burnham all but certain to replace Starmer, who has already set a timetable for his resignation, in No. 10 Downing Street later this month.
Burnham is already facing demands from opposition politicians to call an election and let the country decide, on the basis that he was not even a candidate for parliament at the last general election, which Starmer’s Labour Party won by a landslide two years ago.
“Even if the public is tired of elections, our poll shows they would rather not see someone become the prime minister without going through one,” said Seb Wride, head of polling at Public First. “As with the Conservatives before them, the public responds badly to the idea that leaders of the country are decided in rooms they are not in.”
Burnham was mayor of Greater Manchester until last month when he won a special by-election to represent the parliamentary seat of Makerfield, in northwestern England, enabling him to put himself forward as a candidate to replace Starmer as Labour leader and PM.
With no other credible rivals likely to stand against him, Burnham seems set for a frictionless takeover, inheriting a huge army of more than 400 Labour MPs in the House of Commons and a massive working majority of 165. That would give him extensive powers to change the country, despite only having won the backing of fewer than 25,000 voters in Makerfield.
Burnham’s allies have dismissed calls for an election. He also said in a speech on Monday that his radical plans for reforming Britain were “consistent with” Labour’s 2024 manifesto, a broad hint that he does not believe another election is necessary.
Voters, it seems, are not convinced.
The Public First poll found 57 percent of respondents think a general election should be held to choose the next government, while 32 per cent said the current Labour government should “see out their term.” Just over half — 51 percent — said the country needed an election to sort out who is in charge.
Men, people aged 65 and over, and respondents in the East of England were the most likely to say “Andy Burnham should call and try to win a general election to give his government legitimacy.”
Among respondents who said they would rather see an election to choose the next government, 42 percent said the public should “always” be responsible for picking a new PM.
Outgoing British Prime Minister Keir Starmer stands beneath display of UAV drones as he delivers a speech in Berkshire, west of London, on the Defence Investment Plan on June 30, 2026. | Stefan Rousseau/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
“For Burnham, there is a risk that even before it exists his leadership is being challenged on its legitimacy,” said Wride. “The public has largely already assumed he will be Prime Minister. They do not see this as a contest, and it is likely the accusations that Burnham’s ideas are ‘untested’ will therefore land more heavily.”
The top reason given for not wanting an election was that it would be “too disruptive or costly,” supported by 37 percent of respondents, while 12 percent said they were “bored of voting in elections.”
The coronation
When it comes to the Labour leadership election, only 21 percent thought it would be “a genuine contest with a real chance for different candidates” while 64 percent said “the outcome is all but guaranteed.”
When asked who was most likely to become the next prime minister, 59 percent of respondents named Burnham, with only 2 percent naming former defense minister Al Carns.
Burnham won an endorsement of sorts for replacing Starmer, with 44 percent saying he has a stronger right to govern than Starmer because he “better reflects what the public wants now.” Some 25 percent said Starmer had a stronger right to lead the country because “he won the last general election.”
Labour has been lagging behind Nigel Farage’s Reform UK for more than a year in the headline polls. Recent analysis suggests Burnham would cut Reform’s lead if, as expected, he takes over the Labour leadership, but would still struggle to hang onto Labour’s Commons majority, even in the best-case scenarios.
When it comes to political support, respondents to the latest poll who plan to vote for Reform were the most likely to say Burnham needs to call an election to gain legitimacy: 75 percent of current Reform voters backed this approach.
Among Conservative voters, the proportion saying Burnham should call an election was 63 percent, while even one in three Labour supporters (34 percent), whose party stands to lose scores of MPs on current polling, think Burnham should seek a new mandate.
“Calling an election is undeniably a risk,” Wride said. “Even if we assume that Labour might get a small bounce from changing leader, Burnham has a difficult task ahead to enact popular changes while avoiding the criticism that he has no public mandate for those changes. Election polls remain fractured, and the result is far from predictable.”
NOTE: Public First surveyed 2,013 UK adults online, between June 26 and June 29.
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